OPTICALBay of Bengal cloud cover > 85% during pre-monsoon window (May 15–20)71·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 maintains perigee ≥ 380 km through Q3 202683·THERMALThar Desert LST exceeds 52 °C during May heat window64·OPTICALChambal basin NDVI drops below 0.35 before Kharif sowing (Jun 15)48·THERMALArabian Sea SST > 28 °C across > 30% of area before Jun 155·OPTICALGangetic Plain AOD > 1.0 during post-Diwali week 202688·THERMALMumbai UHI intensity > 4.5 °C over eastern suburbs in May58·SARSAR CCD flags > 3 new construction sites in Jaisalmer district in Q239·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 UHF downlink maintains ≥ 8 kbps through eclipse season (Jun–Jul)69·MISSIONANANT-2 achieves full solar panel deployment within 48 h of ejection77·MISSIONANANT-2 ADCS achieves ≤ 0.5° pointing accuracy within 30 days of commissioning72·OPTICALRann of Kutch SWIR reflectance drops below 0.55 before monsoon inundation43·OPTICALBay of Bengal cloud cover > 85% during pre-monsoon window (May 15–20)71·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 maintains perigee ≥ 380 km through Q3 202683·THERMALThar Desert LST exceeds 52 °C during May heat window64·OPTICALChambal basin NDVI drops below 0.35 before Kharif sowing (Jun 15)48·THERMALArabian Sea SST > 28 °C across > 30% of area before Jun 155·OPTICALGangetic Plain AOD > 1.0 during post-Diwali week 202688·THERMALMumbai UHI intensity > 4.5 °C over eastern suburbs in May58·SARSAR CCD flags > 3 new construction sites in Jaisalmer district in Q239·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 UHF downlink maintains ≥ 8 kbps through eclipse season (Jun–Jul)69·MISSIONANANT-2 achieves full solar panel deployment within 48 h of ejection77·MISSIONANANT-2 ADCS achieves ≤ 0.5° pointing accuracy within 30 days of commissioning72·OPTICALRann of Kutch SWIR reflectance drops below 0.55 before monsoon inundation43·
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OPTICALANANTSAT-2LIVE DATA

Gangetic Plain AOD > 1.0 during post-Diwali week 2026

FORMAL HYPOTHESIS

Mean AOD at 550 nm over Gangetic Plain exceeds 1.0 on ≥3 of 7 days after Diwali 2026.

RESOLUTION METHODOLOGY

ANANTSAT-2 multi-band radiance via MAIAC-style AOD retrieval, validated at AERONET Kanpur.

MARKET PROBABILITY
88%
LONG — implied probability
12%
SHORT
VOLUME
421K AP
LIQUIDITY
96K AP
CLOSES IN
134 days
LIVE SATELLITE DATA — ANANTSAT-2
HISTORICAL HIT RATE
94%
PRE-EVENT AOD
0.42
WIND FORECAST
CALM
CONFIDENCE
VERY HIGH
ANALYST NOTES — 93
👨‍🔬
arjun_sLONG2h

ANANTSAT-2 overpass at 04:32 UTC confirmed cloud fraction 0.79 — trending toward threshold. Going long.

👩‍🔭
nisha_kLONG5h

F10.7 at 148 sfu is elevated but orbital margin is 32 km. Holding position.

👨‍🚀
dev_rLONG7h

Historical base rate for this AOI/window is 94%. Market is under-pricing.

🧑‍💻
aman_jSHORT11h

Wait for one more overpass before committing. Cloud fraction delta is noisy at this cadence.

OPEN POSITION
IMPLIED PROB88¢
Price88¢
Shares568
Max payout568 AP
BALANCE10,000 AP
AODAir QualityGangetic