OPTICALBay of Bengal cloud cover > 85% during pre-monsoon window (May 15–20)71·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 maintains perigee ≥ 380 km through Q3 202683·THERMALThar Desert LST exceeds 52 °C during May heat window64·OPTICALChambal basin NDVI drops below 0.35 before Kharif sowing (Jun 15)48·THERMALArabian Sea SST > 28 °C across > 30% of area before Jun 155·OPTICALGangetic Plain AOD > 1.0 during post-Diwali week 202688·THERMALMumbai UHI intensity > 4.5 °C over eastern suburbs in May58·SARSAR CCD flags > 3 new construction sites in Jaisalmer district in Q239·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 UHF downlink maintains ≥ 8 kbps through eclipse season (Jun–Jul)69·MISSIONANANT-2 achieves full solar panel deployment within 48 h of ejection77·MISSIONANANT-2 ADCS achieves ≤ 0.5° pointing accuracy within 30 days of commissioning72·OPTICALRann of Kutch SWIR reflectance drops below 0.55 before monsoon inundation43·OPTICALBay of Bengal cloud cover > 85% during pre-monsoon window (May 15–20)71·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 maintains perigee ≥ 380 km through Q3 202683·THERMALThar Desert LST exceeds 52 °C during May heat window64·OPTICALChambal basin NDVI drops below 0.35 before Kharif sowing (Jun 15)48·THERMALArabian Sea SST > 28 °C across > 30% of area before Jun 155·OPTICALGangetic Plain AOD > 1.0 during post-Diwali week 202688·THERMALMumbai UHI intensity > 4.5 °C over eastern suburbs in May58·SARSAR CCD flags > 3 new construction sites in Jaisalmer district in Q239·TELEMETRYANANTSAT-2 UHF downlink maintains ≥ 8 kbps through eclipse season (Jun–Jul)69·MISSIONANANT-2 achieves full solar panel deployment within 48 h of ejection77·MISSIONANANT-2 ADCS achieves ≤ 0.5° pointing accuracy within 30 days of commissioning72·OPTICALRann of Kutch SWIR reflectance drops below 0.55 before monsoon inundation43·
← BACK TO MARKETS
THERMALANANTSAT-2LIVE DATA

Arabian Sea SST > 28 °C across > 30% of area before Jun 1

FORMAL HYPOTHESIS

SST exceeds 28 °C across > 30% of north Arabian Sea (15–25°N, 60–75°E) before Jun 1.

RESOLUTION METHODOLOGY

ANANTSAT-2 thermal IR calibrated against NOAA OISST; area fraction over defined AOI polygon.

MARKET PROBABILITY
55%
LONG — implied probability
45%
SHORT
VOLUME
310K AP
LIQUIDITY
71K AP
CLOSES IN
Resolved
LIVE SATELLITE DATA — ANANTSAT-2
AREA > 28 °C
22%+3
MEAN SST (AOI)
27.4 °C+0.6
MJO PHASE
6 / 8
DAILY SST RATE
+0.12 °C/day
ANALYST NOTES — 61
👨‍🔬
arjun_sLONG2h

ANANTSAT-2 overpass at 04:32 UTC confirmed cloud fraction 0.79 — trending toward threshold. Going long.

👩‍🔭
nisha_kLONG5h

F10.7 at 148 sfu is elevated but orbital margin is 32 km. Holding position.

👨‍🚀
dev_rLONG7h

Historical base rate for this AOI/window is 94%. Market is under-pricing.

🧑‍💻
aman_jSHORT11h

Wait for one more overpass before committing. Cloud fraction delta is noisy at this cadence.

OPEN POSITION
IMPLIED PROB55¢
Price55¢
Shares909
Max payout909 AP
BALANCE10,000 AP
SSTCycloneArabian Sea